Bitcoin Hack of 2.3 billion USD on the move – Is the dump coming?

Scammer moves Bitcoin coins stacked. Bitcoin Scam?

Time and again, crypto exchanges become victims of hackers and lose millions in Crypto Code app and other crypto currencies. So does the Bitfinex stock exchange, which in 2016 lost approximately 119,756 BTC in a hacker attack.

Bitcoin the Bitfinex hacker on the move

For a long time, the stolen Bitcoins were not moved. But since the Bitcoin price yesterday broke through the $19,000 mark again, some movements have been detected by Whale Alert.

In total, 5045.8 BTC were transferred to other wallets yesterday. The hacker did not send the Bitcoins in one go, but in 14 transactions.

The current value of yesterday’s transactions is approximately $100 million. The smallest Bitcoin transaction was 261.24 BTC, while the largest was 469.89.

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In total the booty is worth 2.3 billion USD

As recently as August, Bitfinex offered a $400 million reward for the stolen BTC. But the hackers apparently did not get involved in the deal.

Interestingly, the stolen Bitcoin was worth the equivalent of $72 million in 2016 when the hack happened at Bitfinex.

Due to the parabolic rise of the Bitcoin price, the stolen sum has experienced an enormous increase in value. Meanwhile, the loot is worth approximately 2.3 billion USD. No wonder why Bitfinex has chosen such a high reward.

The hack of Bitfinex goes completely surely into the history of Bitcoin. Together with the Mt. Gox and CoinCheck stock exchanges it is the largest amount of stolen BTC.

No Bitcoin price dump to be expected

There were successful hacker attacks in the last years again and again but never again so many Bitcoin were stolen from a crypto stock exchange. A possible reason for this are the preventive measures of the different offerers.

At the beginning of November, CipherTrace published that crypto-criminality was declining in 2020. Nevertheless, thefts in cryptospace have exceeded the 17 billion USD mark since 2011. However, most of this is not due to hacks from stock exchanges, but to snowball systems such as OneCoin or PlusToken.

The Bitcoins from the Bitfinex Hack are known by all major exchanges and cannot be paid out easily. Therefore a strong sale is currently not to be expected. Nevertheless, these BTCs will also find their way into the market at some point.

Despite the change to digital currencies – BIS emphasizes the importance of cash

Benoît Cœuré from the BIZ Innovation Hub wants to create diversity among means of payment and not put them into competition with one another.

As more and more countries deal with issuing their own central bank digital currency (CBDC), Benoît Cœuré of the Bank for International Settlements emphasizes that cash will maintain its importance.

The head of the BIS technology center was previously a board member of the European Central Bank (ECB)

„In contrast to Sweden and China, there is still a great demand for banknotes in the euro zone,“ as Cœuré initially stated in an interview on Thursday. “Their role as a means of payment is declining, but they are still in demand as a means of saving,” he explains afterwards. And further:

“Nobody wants to force consumers to choose which payment method to use. Diversity is a good thing and it promotes innovation. The aim is to create free choice, which means that consumers can continue to pay with the currency of their central bank. “

In the further discussion, Cœuré addressed a number of topics relating to the global development of Bitcoin Trader software. He spoke about innovation as a natural growth process and named the different positions of different countries with regard to central bank digital currencies and the upcoming Facebook cryptocurrency Libra.

China is currently clearly in the lead in the race to issue its own CBDC , while the US is still on hold

Central bank digital currencies have the potential to make cash redundant. Depending on the reading, this can be assessed positively or negatively. The requirements in the respective country play a decisive role in this assessment. The payment system in the USA is already largely digitized, which is why there is no compelling need for a central bank digital currency.

Most CBDCs will very likely be based on blockchain technology . The introduction of such digital currencies by central banks would be the same as today’s cash, only that it is in digital form. Cœuré agrees: “Central bank digital currencies are the digital equivalent of coins and banknotes. They are the safest currency there is because they are issued by a government agency. “

To this end, he adds:

“In the future you will be able to pay for your coffee in different ways: of course with banknotes and coins, which will be available as long as they are needed, but also by card, central bank digital currency or payment systems like Apple Pay and PayPal. If there is the appropriate legal framework, then maybe with Facebook Libra. „

Cœuré himself mentioned Bitcoin ( BTC ) as a possible means of payment: „If you want to pay with Bitcoin, why not, provided the payer and the payee understand the risks of an actively traded cryptocurrency.“

Nonetheless, physical cash has important properties that digital currencies can never meet. For example, they are always available even in crisis situations.

Bitcoin mining pool implements censorship on BTC transactions & why this could be the beginning of a dangerous development

The introduction of a new „censored“ Bitcoin mining pool has caused concern among some Bitcoiners. They believe that it could be a harbinger of future developments.

Will Bitcoin soon be threatened with censorship by regulatory authorities? And why should it be bad at all to exclude so-called “bad actors” from the network?

In this article we will take a closer look at the latest developments in the Bitcoin mining scene and look for answers to the above questions.

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First BTC mining pool tests censorship on Bitcoin

The blockchain analysis platform BlockSeer has introduced the private beta version of a new Bitcoin mining pool (Blockseer Mining Pool), which censors transactions from blacklisted BTC wallets .

The pool will use BlockSeer’s and Walletscore’s labeling data along with other verified sources, such as the United States Office of Foreign Assets Control (OFAC) blacklist for crypto, to identify BTC transactions that it does not want to process. The pool also requires all miners to go through Know-Your-Customer (KYC) protocols. DMG’s COO Sheldon Bennett stated:

The pool is focused on not getting transactions from known nefarious wallets that use this medium in a way that continues to tarnish the reputation of cryptocurrencies, particularly Bitcoin, in the mainstream and impede widespread adoption.

Why such developments are a ’slippery development‘

Former Monero lead developer Riccardo Spagni (@fluffypony) noted on Twitter that this could be the start of a slippery development. He speculated that bitcoin mining pools‘ transaction censorship could spread due to pressure from regulators. He indicated that this was a cause for concern. Regulators who look at this and think it is a good idea to take action ‚for extreme cases like the OFAC crypto list‘ could make censorship on Bitcoin enforceable.

Instead , Spagni suggested that more privacy on Bitcoin would prevent this, adding:

Things like p2pool & Stratum v2 make it practically unenforceable and I’d rather rely on it than on a hope & prayer.

P2pool is a decentralized bitcoin mining pool that was founded in 2011. Braiins‘ Stratum V2 draft is a complete overhaul that BetterHash implements. BetterHash is a secondary protocol that allows the constituents of the mining pool to decide on the composition of the block they will mine, rather than allowing pools to control which transactions are included in each block. This should make pool censorship impossible. According to Braiins co-founder Jan Capek, the draft has yet to be formally examined. However, he will receive grants from Square Crypto for further development.

Wallet Scrutiny website founder Leo Wandersleb commented that this „slippery development“ of censorship will lead to a soft fork where pools that follow this approach will refuse to „build on blocks that don’t use their filters“ .

Före det senaste presidentvalet var Bitcoins pris bara 700 dollar

Kommer Bitcoin att känna efterskakan när Trump tappar mot Biden i omröstningarna?

Valtid! Striden mellan “ Sleepy “ Joe Biden och “ Tiny Hands “ Trump kommer att utkämpas vid omröstningarna ikväll, och kanske i domstolarna under de kommande veckorna. Men vad gör detta för Bitcoin , och hur stämmer 2020-valet upp till det senaste valet?

Bitcoins pris på valdagen är 13 685 dollar, enligt statistikwebbplatsen CoinMarketCap, upp 1,82% under det senaste dygnet.

Topp 5 krypto nyheter och funktioner i din inkorg varje dag

Få Daily Digest för det bästa av Decrypt. Nyheter, originalfunktioner och mer.

På 2016 års valnatt, då president Trump slog “ Crazy / Crooked / Lyin ‚ “ Hillary Clinton, var priset på en enda Bitcoin 700 dollar. Efter Trumps seger sköt Bitcoin upp till $ 735. Det är en 18x ökning av priset på Bitcoin under de senaste fyra åren.

Och vad sägs om 2012, då “ Cheatin ‚“ Obama slog “ Choke-artist “ Mitt Romney? Data är disig, men Bitcoin var värt cirka 11,2 dollar i oktober och 12,56 dollar i november per Statista. För dem som „borde köpa Bitcoin långt tillbaka när“ folk där ute, ja, det är en ökning av 1 000 gånger priset sedan Obamas andra period.

Varför förutsägelsesmarknader och omröstningar skiljer sig från Trumps valodds

Enligt The Economists valprognosmodell har president Trump bara 4% chans att bli omvald. Men på den Ethereum-baserade förutsägelsesplattformen Polymarket kostar det dig $ 0,3 …

Om inget annat visar de stora prisskillnaderna hur mycket som kan förändras mellan valen.

När Amerika testar grunden för sin demokrati den här månaden ska Bitcoin-handlare också testa nya priser. Förra månaden steg Bitcoins pris från cirka 10 500 dollar i början av månaden till toppar på drygt 14 000 dollar under helgen.

Många tror att Bitcoin inte är korrelerat från globala händelser: den så kallade ”safe haven” teorin. Kommer det att förbli oförvirrat av valet som en tillgångsklass som investerare gör som isolerade mot politiska händelser?

Endast omröstningarna kommer att berätta – om inte Trump eller Biden bestrider dem.

Bitcoin-transaktionsavgifter stiger till 28 månader högt när Hashrate sjunker mitt i prisrallyt

Kostnaden för att göra transaktioner på bitcoin ökar medan nätverket lider av sin värsta trängsel på nästan tre år.

Från och med onsdagen var den genomsnittliga avgiften per transaktion, eller den genomsnittliga transaktionskostnaden, 0,00086764 BTC (BTC, + 1,84%), den högsta sedan juni 2018, enligt datakällan Glassnode. I dollar var den genomsnittliga transaktionsavgiften 11,66 dollar.

De genomsnittliga avgifterna i bitcoin-termer har ökat med 573% under de senaste 12 dagarna tillsammans med kryptovalutans prisrally från 11 200 $ till 13 800 $.
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„Bitcoin mempool [minnespoolen] är tillbaka i fokus i kölvattnet av ökande transaktionsvolymer, vilket orsakar trängsel i nätverket och därmed köravgifter högre“, berättade Denis Vinokourov, forskningschef på Londons basmäklare Bequant, till CoinDesk.

Mempool är samlingen av obekräftade transaktioner. När bitcoin-transaktioner utförs skickas de först till mempool, där de väntar på godkännande av gruvarbetare. Bitcoin gruvarbetare kan bearbeta endast 1 megabyte (MB) av transaktioner per block som bryts ungefär var 10: e minut.

När blockchain upplever en ökad trafik orsakar det förseningar och en eftersläpning av transaktioner. När efterfrågan överstiger utbudet ökar gruvarbetarna sina intäkter genom att prioritera transaktioner med högre avgifter. Det tvingar i sin tur andra användare att erbjuda högre avgifter för att undvika långa väntetider.

Trängsel i nätverket ses vanligtvis under prisuppgångar. Som nämnts tidigare har bitcoin kritiserat en betydande ökning under de senaste 12 dagarna. Under den tidsperioden försämrades nätverksbelastningen, mätt med det totala antalet obekräftade transaktioner i mempool, med 1 800%.

Bitcoin: Totalt antal obekräftade transaktioner

Från och med tisdag fanns det 123140 obekräftade transaktioner i mempoolen med en total blockstorlek på 66,8 MB. Enligt datakällan är det den högsta nivån sedan tjurmarknadskänslan i december 2018.

Hashratfall bidrar till trängsel

Den senaste bilden i bitcoins hashrate ser ut att ha spelat en stor roll för att orsaka trängsel i nätverket tillsammans med en allmän prisdriven hämtning i aktivitet. Med andra ord har gruvkraften som ägnas åt godkännande av transaktioner och gruvblock minskat mitt i prisuppgången, vilket ökat väntetiderna och nätverksbelastningen.

Bitcoins hashrate

Det sju dagars glidande genomsnittet av bitcoins hashrat har minskat från 146 exahash per sekund (EH / s) till 120 EH / s.

Med andra ord har gruvkraften som är tillgänglig för godkännande av transaktioner och gruvblock minskat mitt i prisuppgången, vilket ökat väntetiderna och trängselnätet.

I slutet av regnsäsongen i Sichuan-provinsen i Kina, ett gruvcentrum, kan vissa gruvarbetare flytta till andra områden med billiga vattenkraftkällor och orsaka en minskning av hashratet.

Winklevoss twins affirm future Bitcoin rate of $ 500,000

The Winklevoss brothers believe that “the game has not really started yet”.

Tyler and Cameron Winklevoss, the prominent operators of the Gemini crypto exchange, confirmed in an interview with Peter McCormack that they are convinced that Bitcoin ( BTC ) will sooner or later break the $ 500,000 mark

„For us, the question is not whether it is going to be $ 500,000, but rather how quickly,“ said Tyler Winklevoss on October 23 in the McCormack podcast . His argument is based on a comparison to the Crypto Profit capitalization of gold and a possible future entry of the central banks into the market-leading cryptocurrency. „I would even argue that $ 500,000 is actually a very conservative prognosis because the game has not really started yet,“ as Cameron exuberantly relativizes his assessment.

The fact that more and more well-known companies like MicroStrategy are now making large investments in Bitcoin could be a sign that the market is slowly picking up speed. Accordingly, Cameron asks, „What if every Fortune 500 company and central bank does the same thing?“

In this regard, he then draws the comparison that the Bitcoin market is currently only in the first 10 minutes of the first half of a football game, which leaves a lot of room for improvement:

“Wall Street isn’t there yet and the institutions haven’t joined Bitcion either. So far, it has been largely a private investor phenomenon. Wall Street is already talking about it, it knows Bitcoin. She doesn’t have our eyes on it yet, but that’s slowly coming. “

The subject of the interview was a thesis paper by Tyler and Cameron Winklevoss, which they published in August 2020 and which is called „The arguments for a Bitcoin course of US $ 500,000“. The twins had been working on the paper since January 2020.

„We looked at what the government has been doing to the US dollar and traditional financial products, which are used as stores of value and security, over the past 10 years,“ said Cameron. When the Corona crisis gained the upper hand in March, the brothers temporarily interrupted work on the paper in order to finish it several months later. They also took into account the effects of the crisis.

As Tyler states, he and his brother first bought Bitcoin back in 2012. One of the intentions of their study was therefore to look at the development of cryptocurrency over the past 10 years.

While more and more optimistic forecasts for Bitcoin are being made in 2020, there are also pessimistic voices such as gold advocate Peter Schiff.

Bitcoin e Altcoins Segnalazione di altri aspetti positivi

  • Il prezzo Bitcoin ha guadagnato slancio rialzista oltre USD 11.000 e USD 11.250.
  • L’Ethereum si è stabilizzato ben al di sopra di USD 365, l’XRP sta mostrando segni positivi al di sopra di USD 0,250.
  • REN si è radunato intorno al 20% e XMR è in crescita di oltre il 10% oggi.

Il prezzo del Bitcoin ha guadagnato forza dopo che c’è stata una chiara chiusura sopra la resistenza di USD 11.000. BTC è riuscita a superare i livelli di USD 11.250 e USD 11.400. Il prezzo sta attualmente (05:00 UTC) consolidando i guadagni al di sotto di USD 11.500 e sembra allinearsi per la prossima rottura al rialzo.

Allo stesso modo, c’è stato un costante aumento e movimenti positivi nella maggior parte dei principali altcoin, tra cui ethereum, XRP, litecoin, bitcoin cash, EOS, ADA, ADA, TRX, BNB e XLM. ETH/USD ha superato i livelli di resistenza di USD 355 e USD 365. Anche XRP/USD ha superato USD 0,250 e potrebbe continuare ad aumentare se supera USD 0,258.

Prezzo Bitcoin

Dopo molteplici tentativi falliti di cancellare il supporto di 10.250 USD, il prezzo del bitcoin ha iniziato un forte movimento al rialzo. BTC ha superato i livelli di resistenza di 10.800 e 11.000 USD per entrare in una zona positiva. Ha anche testato la resistenza di 11.500 USD e recentemente ha iniziato una correzione al ribasso. Un supporto iniziale sul lato negativo è vicino al livello di USD 10.350.

Il primo supporto importante è vicino al livello di 11.250 USD, al di sotto del quale i tori potrebbero difendere il principale supporto settimanale a 11.000 USD. Al rialzo, una netta rottura al di sopra della resistenza di 11.500 dollari potrebbe aprire le porte per una spinta verso gli 11.800 e i 12.000 dollari.

Prezzo dell’etereum

Anche il prezzo dell’etereum ha seguito uno schema simile e si è ripreso dopo una netta rottura al di sopra della resistenza di 355 USD. ETH ha rotto la resistenza di 365 USD e ha testato il livello di 380 USD. Il prezzo è scambiato con un bias positivo e se supera il livello di 380 USD, i tori potrebbero testare il livello di 400 USD.

Dal lato negativo, il prezzo potrebbe trovare offerte vicine al livello di USD 365. Il principale supporto settimanale si sta ora formando vicino al livello di USD 355.

Bitcoin cash, chainlink e prezzo XRP

Il prezzo in contanti della Bitcoin ha guadagnato terreno dopo aver rotto la resistenza di 230 dollari. BCH ha addirittura superato i 235 e i 240 USD. La prossima resistenza chiave è vicina al livello di 250 USD. Se c’è una correzione al ribasso, il prezzo potrebbe trovare offerte vicine ai 235 USD. Il supporto di rottura potrebbe essere vicino al livello di 230 USD.

Chainlink (LINK) ha guadagnato passo sopra i livelli di resistenza di USD 10.20 e USD 10.50 per muoversi in una zona rialzista. Il prezzo è ora scambiato vicino a USD 10,80, con un ostacolo chiave vicino al livello di USD 11,00. Una pausa di successo sopra il livello di USD 11.00 potrebbe portare il prezzo verso il livello di USD 12.00.

Il prezzo XRP è saltato dopo aver superato il livello di pivot di 0,245 USD. Il prezzo ha rotto i livelli di resistenza di 0,250 USD e 0,255 USD. Ora sta lottando per superare i livelli di USD 0,258 e USD 0,260. Il prossimo importante stop superiore a USD 0,260 per i tori potrebbe essere di USD 0,272. Sul lato negativo, il supporto principale è ora vicino a USD 0,245.

Altro mercato altcoins oggi

Nelle ultime tre sessioni, molti altcoin hanno guadagnato oltre l’8%, tra cui REN, XMR, NMR, ATOM, BAND, YFI, ZEC, SUSHI, SOL e KSM. Di questi, REN ha guadagnato il 25% e ha superato il livello di resistenza di 0,380 USD.

Nel complesso, il prezzo bitcoin è scambiato in una zona positiva al di sopra di USD 11.250 e USD 11.000. L’attuale azione di prezzo indica che ci sono possibilità di maggiori rialzi al di sopra della resistenza di USD 11.500.

Blockkette geht aufs College

Blockkette geht aufs College

Nehmen wir an, Sie sind ein 17-jähriger Highschool-Absolvent. Sie waren fast Klassenbester, haben Ihre SATs bestanden und versuchen nun herauszufinden, wo Sie aufs College gehen sollen.

Option A ist eine Eliteuniversität, die Sie wahrscheinlich (aber nicht sicher) mit einem anständigen Job belohnen wird, die Ihnen aber auch eine erdrückende Verschuldung von 200.000 Dollar garantiert, und wer weiß, wie die Wirtschaft in vier Jahren aussehen wird, oder sogar, wenn wir eine Wirtschaft durch Bitcoin Era haben, oder sogar, wenn wir einen Planeten haben?

Diese Geschichte ist Teil der CoinDesk U-Reihe über Blockchain an Universitäten. Sehen Sie hier unser Ranking der US-Universitäten.

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Option B ist eine Schule, die Ihnen „nur“ 80.000 Dollar Schulden hinterlässt, aber den Hauch eines mittelmäßigen Kompromisses hat.

Was ist, wenn es eine geheime Option C gibt?

Was wäre, wenn Sie theoretisch das gleiche Bildungskaliber wie die Ivy League zu einem Bruchteil der Kosten durch einige nicht-traditionelle Klassen und Selbststudium erhalten könnten? Sie sind skeptisch. Das klingt nach Betrug. Wie ein Werbespot. Und wer würde diesem DIY-College-Abschluss vertrauen?

Was wäre nun, wenn Ihr Traumarbeitgeber das gleiche Vertrauen in Ihren DIY-Abschluss hätte wie ein Diplom aus Harvard? Was wäre, wenn er oder sie wirklich glauben würde, dass Sie aufgrund Ihrer fließenden Japanischkenntnisse, Ihrer Beherrschung der Kodierung oder Ihres Verständnisses von Murakamis Kurzgeschichten das gleiche Niveau haben wie ein Absolvent aus Yale? Was wäre, wenn all diese Zeugnisse vertrauenswürdig wären, weil sie – warten Sie es ab – auf der Blockkette überprüft wurden?

Vielleicht rollen Sie hier mit den Augen. „Blockchain kann die Ausbildung revolutionieren“ wird natürlich die gleiche Skepsis hervorrufen wie „Blockchain wird die Welt revolutionieren“. Doch angesichts der steigenden Kosten der Hochschulbildung wäre es allein schon ein Sieg, wenn Blockchain einen Wettbewerbsdruck auf das System ausüben könnte.

Diese Zukunft wird nicht magisch passieren, sie wird nicht über Nacht geschehen, und sie beginnt mit ein paar bescheidenen ersten Schritten. Diese Zukunft beginnt mit Programmen wie dem, was sich still und leise an der Universität von Colorado in Boulder zusammenbraut, unter der Leitung eines Professors namens Hunter Albright, der sich zum Unternehmer gewandelt hat und zum Blockchain-Professor wurde.
Möglichkeiten der Blockchain-Universität

Der Plan war, sich persönlich auf dem Campus der UC Boulder zu treffen und mit den Studenten über Blockchain zu sprechen.


  • Le prix du bitcoin a connu une reprise décente après l’imbroglio sur le BitMEX hier, mais la cryptocourant a renversé la plupart de ces gains du jour au lendemain en raison de la nouvelle du président Trump qui a contracté le virus mortel
  • Cette nouvelle a également provoqué une onde de choc sur les marchés traditionnels, et semble avoir un effet de retombée sur la CTB ainsi que sur les altcoins
  • Les tendances globales du marché de la cryptographie dans les jours, les semaines et les mois à venir dépendront probablement en grande partie des marchés mondiaux
  • Cela étant dit, un analyste note que la résistance de Bitcoin face aux multiples événements d’actualité vendables au cours des deux dernières semaines est haussière

Bitcoin a été confronté à d’immenses turbulences ces derniers temps, qui ont été provoquées par une combinaison d’incertitudes techniques et de mouvements de prix liés aux nouvelles.

Au cours des deux dernières semaines seulement, le marché de la cryptographie a été témoin du piratage majeur de la bourse des KuCoin, des accusations formelles de la CFTC contre les propriétaires de BitMEX, ainsi que des dernières nouvelles concernant la santé du président Trump.

On aurait pu s’attendre à ce que la confluence de ces facteurs fasse baisser le prix de la BTC, mais celle-ci a pu rester stable dans sa fourchette de négociation macro entre 10 200 et 11 200 dollars.

Un analyste note que c’est un sérieux signe de force pour la cryptocouronne de référence.


La pression de vente à laquelle Bitcoin est confronté depuis peu est de plus en plus forte. Cela dit, les taureaux ont été capables d’absorber une quantité choquante de cette pression de vente.

Au moment où nous écrivons ces lignes, Bitcoin est en baisse d’un peu moins de 2 % à son prix actuel de 10 480 dollars. Ceci marque une baisse par rapport à son plus haut de la nuit à 10 700 $, qui avait été fixé alors que les taureaux tentaient de catalyser un renversement de tendance.

Cette dernière baisse s’est terminée dès que le crypto a atteint 10 400 $, signalant qu’il s’agit d’un niveau de soutien important.


En parlant de la pléthore de nouvelles à la baisse qui a secoué le marché de la cryptographie et le marché traditionnel, un analyste a noté que la réaction sourde de Bitcoin à cette nouvelle est résolument haussière.

„Toujours dans le triangle après : – Le piratage [KuCoin] de +150 millions de crypto – BitMEX poursuivi par les Etats-Unis – [Donald Trump] testé positif… Si cela… s’était produit en 10 jours il y a 2 ans, Bitcoin serait mort depuis longtemps – impressionnant“, a-t-il déclaré.

À moins que la pression des ventes ne devienne trop forte pour Bitcoin, une défense continue de la région à 10 000 dollars pourrait même contribuer à alimenter une tendance à la hausse.

Les analystes craignent qu’un dollar américain fort atténue la dynamique haussière de Bitcoin

Le prix du bitcoin et de l’or a chuté à mesure que l’indice du dollar américain se redressait, ce qui a conduit les analystes à spéculer sur le fait qu’un dollar fort ralentira la dynamique de la BTC.

Le 21 août, le prix du Bitcoin Up a baissé de plus de 3%, passant d’environ 11880 $ à 11511 $ sur Coinbase. Par coïncidence, l’indice du dollar américain (DXY) a commencé à rebondir après son repli de 4 mois.

Alors que le dollar augmentait de 1,3% de 92,28 $ à 93,20 $, Bitcoin, les principales crypto-monnaies et l’or ont chuté en tandem. La corrélation apparemment inverse entre le dollar et Bitcoin pourrait indiquer que l’affaiblissement du dollar a partiellement catalysé le récent rallye de la BTC.

Un rallye fort du dollar inversera-t-il l’élan de Bitcoin?
Depuis la correction majeure du Black Thursday Bitcoin, les analystes ont attribué le rallye actuel de la BTC à la baisse du dollar.

Les chercheurs de Kraken Exchange ont écrit :

«Derrière la flambée, la corrélation de Bitcoin avec #gold s’est renforcée à un plus haut en un an de 0,93. Cela s’est produit alors que les marchés se sont tournés vers des actifs refuges dans un contexte de hausse des cas de COVID, d’augmentation des dépenses publiques, de bénéfices mixtes des entreprises, de craintes d’inflation et d’un affaiblissement du dollar américain.

Au contraire, lorsque le dollar s’inverse et commence à remonter, les chances d’une phase de consolidation de Bitcoin pourraient augmenter.

Au cours des 48 dernières heures, alors que l’indice du dollar américain montait, le prix de l’or a également chuté de plus de 3,5%. L’or s’était fortement redressé ces dernières semaines, soutenu par l’incertitude croissante autour de l’économie mondiale.

En tant que tel, Scott Melker, un trader de crypto-monnaie, a déclaré que la relation inverse entre Bitcoin et le dollar est plus convaincante que sa récente corrélation avec le marché boursier. Il a noté:

«La relation inverse de Bitcoin avec le dollar est bien plus convaincante que l’idée qu’elle est corrélée avec le marché boursier.»

Le dollar a sous-performé par rapport aux principales devises de réserve comme le yen japonais depuis avril et les analystes prévoient que s’il parvient à maintenir sa forte dynamique, l’or et le dollar américain en souffriront.

Les prévisions à court terme du dollar

Selon Michael Hewson, analyste de marché en chef de CMC Markets UK, la remontée du dollar entraîne un affaiblissement de la tendance haussière de l’or. Hewson a déclaré :

«Le rebond du dollar américain a également déclenché une nouvelle vague de faiblesse des prix de l’or qui s’est fortement soldé et teste maintenant le support à 1 920 $ l’once, et le regain d’incertitude quant au rythme des nouvelles mesures de relance monétaire de la Réserve fédérale.

Les données de Skew montrent également que Bitcoin et l’or ont connu une nouvelle corrélation ces dernières semaines. Si les prix du BTC et du métal précieux continuent d’évoluer en tandem, la probabilité que le raffermissement du dollar provoque un recul de la BTC augmente.

Karl Schamotta, stratège en chef du marché de Cambridge Global Payments, a déclaré que le dollar pourrait subir une légère compression. Il a expliqué :

„Vous voyez un peu de détente dans le commerce à découvert du dollar qui avait tellement pris de l’ampleur au cours des deux derniers mois.“

La confluence d’un resserrement du dollar, le prochain accord de relance et la montée de la certitude économique contribuent au rebond du dollar, mais s’agira-t-il d’une tendance à court ou à long terme.